Weather News — Keep Calm

WeatherNIWA predicts business as usual on weather front

By Alan Tristram

NIWA (the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research) has come out with a pretty average prognostication for our weather over the next few months.kapiti-coast

It says December 2016 – February 2017 temperatures are most likely to be near average (45% chance) for

the west of the North Island.

And, it says, they  are about equally likely to be near average or above average (40- 45% chance) for the remainder of the country.

paul_campion_hamilton_work_freshwater_jellyfish_palauSea surface temperatures around New Zealand are expected to be near average or above average over the next three months.

Rainfall ‘normal or below’

December 2016 – February 2017 rainfall totals are about equally likely to be near normal or below normal (35-40% chance) for the east of the South Island and mostly likely to be near normal (45%chance) for the rest of New Zealand.

December 2016 – February 2017 soil moisture levels and river flows are most likely to be near normal (45-50% chance) for the north and east of the North Island.

They are equally likely (40% chance) to be near normal or above normal for the west of the North Island.

Near normal or above normal soil moisture and river flows are equally likely (40% chance) for the north of the South Island with near normal (45% chance) soil moisture and river flows the most likely outcome for the west of the South Island.

Near normal or below normal soil moisture and river flows are about equally likely (35- 40% chance) for the east of the South Island.

 

Mean in the rest of the world ….
http://www.counterpunch.org/2016/11/30/the-arctic-goes-bonkers/
30 November, 2016
Recent news out of the Arctic is alarming scientists, as for example the Union of Concerned Scientists discussed further on in this article. This extreme bad news is far-reaching, out of the ordinary, and chilling to the bone.
Global warming is getting worse and worse by the month and by the year and now, all of a sudden, frighteningly worse yet. Worldwide temperature sets monthly records, but who really cares in the public domain, other than scientists, the Pope, and the parties to COP, the Conference of the Parties, which is the gabfest for climate change. It’s where thousands of climate diplomats consume Bordeaux and caviar whilst staying in $250/$750/night hotel rooms and talk and talk and drink and eat and talk. Finally, agreeing to “voluntarily” hold average global temperature increase below 2°C vis a vis pre-industrial temps, which few people outside of their inner circle fully understand. As it happens, 2°C seems like such a small number, and after all it is voluntary! But, for complicated reasons not discussed herein, it is not a small number, truth be known, 1.5°C will cause big problems in the climate. Nevertheless, forget all of the handwringing over 2°C, or 1.5°C for that matter, because humongous problems are already here, right now! …….