‘Give Peace A Chance, дайте миру шанс’ – Or Face A Possible Nuclear Winter

“In a nuclear winter, at least we won’t have to worry about global warming”, writes Dr Norman Franke.

He says the above is the black humour currently circulating in Kyiv (Kiev), Moscow, Warsaw, Berlin and Paris.

We are living in the time of the greatest political crisis in Europe since the outbreak of the Second World War.

Russian President Vladimir Putin is massing huge numbers of troops close to the Ukrainian border – a move that could very easily turn into a Europe-wide conflict.

In a recent statement, US President Joe Biden spoke of the danger of a world war if American citizens living in Ukraine were harmed.

NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization) and Russia – the two largest nuclear powers in the world – are facing each other in Eastern and Central Europe.

Reading two widely circulated New Zealand newspapers over the weekend, the first (syndicated) article on this historic crisis appeared on page 5. The preceding pages showed pictures of anti-vaccination activists in Wellington wearing Trump hats, and a motorcycle doing a burnout.

A different geopolitical focus

Being originally from Europe, my geopolitical focus may differ from that of many other New Zealanders.

But since New Zealand made enormous sacrifices in two previous world wars – and since many New Zealand soldiers were also involved in the conflicts between Soviet Russia and the USA during the Cold War, and in the proxy-wars in Vietnam and Korea – I find the almost complete local media ignorance of the current global crisis extremely surprising and worrying.

Politicians like to remind us, when they ask their populations to make bigger efforts in terms of competition, that we live in an economic and political global village.

But what about peace initiatives? Or just detailed and responsible information about international current events? I am afraid that, in this respect, we do not live in a common village but in almost complete isolation.

The nuclear winter becomes possible…perhaps sooner than later

Perhaps our geographical location contributes to this. But, as Amnesty International President Agnès Callamard recently submitted: “A further armed conflict in the very centre of Europe involving a nuclear power and potentially drawing in other countries threatens to disrupt the entire system of geopolitical checks and balances with unpredictable implications on human rights globally” (emphasis mine).

So what’s going on in Europe? I’ll try to outline it briefly from my Central European-New Zealand perspective.

Putin speaks German — and regrets what’s happened in East Europe

When Russian president Vladimir Putin negotiates with German head of state Olaf Scholz, Putin speaks German.

Since his time as a KGB officer in Dresden (formerly in East Germany), Putin is a fluent speaker of German. He even had an ID card from the East German secret police – the Stasi – for whom he was a liaison officer.

After the peaceful revolution in Eastern Europe in 1989, and after the fall of the Berlin Wall, Putin returned to Russia and continued to work for Russian secret services before he became a politician.

The 1989 “Velvet Revolution(s)” in Czechoslovakia, Poland and East-Germany had traumatised him. He didn’t see these events as decolonisation, but as a loss of power. And this is probably the main motive for his trying to claw back power in Ukraine and in East-Central Europe.

Examples of ‘clawing back’ power

The illegal annexation of Crimea and the support of the military in the Donbas region are violent examples. Interestingly, the Chief Executive of the controversial Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline is also a former Dresden Stasi officer, Matthias Warnig.

But this is not the whole story. After the peaceful revolution of 1989, many countries (e.g., Poland and the Baltic States) that were part of the former Russian-dominated Soviet bloc became members of NATO and the European Union.

The importance of a demilitarised zone

Peace-loving Russian politicians like Gorbachev kept pointing out the importance of having a demilitarised zone between Russia and NATO. Because Russia was not just a colonial power during the Cold War.

Stressed importance of a demilitarised’ zxone

In the 19th and 20th centuries, Russia was itself attacked several times from western and central Europe, including by Napoleon, Hitler and Pilsudski. However, the West has paid little attention to this situation.

And it has also only been marginally involved in real political and cultural partnership with Russian people – many of whom are not supporters of Putin.

It is also noteworthy in this context that Hunter Biden, the son of the American President, was a lobbyist for the energy company Burisma in Ukraine for a while.

The military-economic complexes in Russia, the USA, Germany, France, Great Britain, and also China, are a huge part of the world economy and are extremely profitable for the shareholders, bureaucrats and politicians involved.

New Zealand’s role

Unfortunately, New Zealand has very little economic leverage to stay out of any proxy wars or major conflicts between these powers in 21st century.

Yet it’s important to take note of the situation and become proactive. It is important to reactivate the domestic peace movements and also to support international peace activists.

Internationally, people listen to Kiwis, because Aotearoa New Zealand has a lot of mana, not least because of the principled strategy of staying nuclear free.

But three decades of international neoliberalism make things difficult: internationalism and multilingualism, for example, are the monopoly of big business these days.

Trade unions and labour parties, as well as many churches and other faith communities, no longer have much of an international outlook but have become rather provincial.

Who still speaks Ukrainian or Russian, or Korean or Urdu for that, today? Who knows anything about Chinese history? What do we do to support heritage languages and the knowledge of overseas-born Kiwis who could bring their experience to the task of international conflict resolution (as well as the export industry)?

Misunderstood identity politics may also be part of the current problem: many years of monolingualism, small-group interests and cultural navel-gazing are now making it more difficult to show international solidarity among the advocates of peace.

What can we do? We can ask our own politicians, academics and media gurus to think outside the box and act in accordance with the seriousness of the international situation.

We can write emails and letters to the embassies of Russia, Ukraine, the USA and the EU, urging them to further negotiate for peace.

We can encourage and sign private peace treaties as members of political, cultural or religious groups. We can lobby for more language and history learning at schools.

Amnesty International, PEN International, the World Council of Churches, etc., are not-for-profit organizations that still operate internationally and advocate peace.

We should not, as in 1914, sleepwalk into a world war. And we have to act fast: the Olympic Peace only lasts for seven more days.

‘Gve Peace A Chance’

Give Peace a Chance, gib dem Frieden eine Chance, дайте миру шанс.


Dr Norman P. Franke is a Hamilton-based poet, academic and former member of the West-German Peace Movement.

He describes his professional work thus:

‘I used to teach German and European studies at Waikato but lost my job in a redundancy round together with 20 other colleagues in the Humanities/Social Sciences six years ago. 
Since then, I have worked mainly freelance. I am also a poet. My NZSA web site contains a list of some of my academic and poetic writings: 


‘The most dangerous worldview is the worldview of those who have not viewed the world’ Alexander v. Humboldt

The reality of Nuclear contamination.
My parents knew I was damaged by age 10 months. Because they couldn’t talk about it, I had to find out for myself as an adult, that I was born with the most common effects of strontium90 radiation contamination. Now the list of ailments and radiations is long and I see the direct effects in my grandchildren.
Like my international nuclear siblings I take every opportunity to advocate for the harm done to our families and seek to educate the public about the real damage in human terms, as told by the genetically damaged nuclear mutants who walk amongst you, even in sunny Kapiti New Zealand,

For further information please see the UK Mirror documentary ‘The Damned’ https://damned.mirror.co.uk/.
(A warning this documentary contains very disturbing material that may cause distress)

How understated are the ongoing effects of nuclear radiation contamination? Between the late 1950’s and late 1960’s over 400 nuclear test detonations were carried out in Australia’s Emu Field Maralinga testing ground and the Pacific Ocean Johnson Atoll, Kiribati islands by the English and American defence. Australia and NZ combined defence forces provided additional equipment and manpower to enable additional data. Manpower means as much as entire crews of enlisted and reservist naval servicemen, (3 x RNZN frigates and their crews of 150 or so, standing under orders on deck, without protective equipment just a few miles offshore, Contaminated. The 3 vessels and all their water and air circulation infrastructure Contaminated, returned and washed down at Devonport naval base. Contaminated. 2 of the vessels subsequently used to transport the kit-set McMurdo Antarctic base into situ, still in use today. Contaminated. The vessels were all sold off or scuttled by the RNZ Navy within 10 years. The existing records, tour logs, do not record the time spent offshore at Johnson Atoll during the end of the Operation Dominic test series. Records though do record that many of the nuclear detonations, like the Grapple and Maralinga test series were misfires. Uncontrollable Contamination of marine, land, atmosphere and everything in it. And we wonder how a hole appeared in the ozone above the Pacific in this time? The 450 or so NZ crew of just the frigates, on just that goodwill tour, Contaminated. But many came home and soon went on to have children. Contaminated. Grandchildren Contaminated and according to the only research carried out, our DNA is contaminated without any lessening of ongoing detrimental medical effects for the next 16 generations to follow. Even the Naval dress uniform proudly hanging in the hall cupboard for my entire childhood contaminated every home I lived in. Nuclear war must be avoided at all costs. The NZ Government stop denying Kiwis were fatally contaminated there under orders and own up and acknowledge ALL affected by NZ’s involvement in the Pacific nuclear tests instead of just waiting for our Dads to die. ‘Nuclear children of New Zealand, just like our Australian, English and American nuclear siblings – Our bodies and medical records now bear witness to our Dads experiences and the list of victims just grows and grows with each generation.’

So interesting Norman. The trauma of the ‘Velvet Revolution’ on the aggressor Putin. The unheeded plea for a demilitarised zone by the peace loving Gorbachev. Once again world stability seems to hinge on the personalities of so few.
Excellent Norman.

YES! I’m reminded of Chamberlain saying how bizarre it was that Britain should be involved in the Czech/Sudeten crisis: “a quarrel in a far away country, between people of whom we know nothing”.

Certainly little if anything has been done by the mainstream to dispel our ignorance.

EXCELLENT article once again going above and beyond larger commercial “newspapers” congratulations on your real journalistic enterprise in these times. Thank you.


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